Authors: S.M. Stirling,David Drake
“The Republic will conquer . . . unite the world?”
no. that probability is less than 12%, ±3. observe:
Troops in the brown uniforms and round hats of the Republic marched out of a city: Arena, in the Sierra. Crowds lined the streets, hooting and whistling. Sometimes they threw things.
santander lacks the organizational infrastructure to forcefully integrate foreign territories.
“No staying power,” Raj amplified. “They can get into wars, and if you push them to the wall they can mobilize like hell, but when it’s less vital than that, they don’t like paying the butcher’s bill or the money either. They’ll get into wars occasionally, and piss away men and equipment and then decide it’s no fun and go home.”
correct. santander will exercise a general hegemony, increasingly cultural and economic rather than military. this will inaugurate a period of intense competition within a framework of minimal government. such episodes are unstable but tend to rapid technological innovation.
“The Republic will go into space because it gives you as much glory as war and it’s less frustrating,” Raj explained.
observe:
A cylinder taller than a building lifted into the air in a blue-white discharge. The next view was strange: a white-streaked blue disk floating in utter blackness, ringed by unwinking stars. It wasn’t until John saw the outline of a continent that he realized he was seeing Visager from space.
From space!
he thought. A construct of girders floated across the vision. Men in spacesuits flitted around it and incomprehensible machines with arms like crabs.
a tanaki displacement net, Center said. in this scenario, visager would enter the second federation without prior political unification. an unusual development.
The visions ceased, leaving only a mirrored wall at the end of a strange study.
Raj handed him a glass and sat in the chair facing him. John took a cautious sip of the sweet wine.
“Lad, you can leave here with no memories of what you’ve seen and heard,” he said calmly. “Or you can leave here as Center’s agent—as I was Center’s agent—to help get this planet out of the dead-end it’s trapped in and set its people free.”
“I’ll do it,” John blurted, then flushed again.
The words seemed to have come directly from his mouth without passing through his brain.
Raj shook his head. “This isn’t a game, John. You could die. You quite probably
will
die.”
The mirrored wall dissolved into its impossibly real pictures. This time they were much more personal. John—an older John—lay beside a hedgerow. His face was slack, eyes unblinking in the thin gray mist of rain. One hand lay on his stomach, a blue bulge of intestine showing around the fingers.
John sat stripped to the waist in a metal chair, waist and limbs and neck held by padded clamps; another device of levers and screws held his mouth open. A single bulb shone down from the ceiling. A Fourth Bureau specialist dressed in a shiny bib apron stepped up to him with a curved tool in his hands.
“Shame, Hosten, shame,” he said. “You have neglected your teeth. Still, I think this nerve is still sensitive.”
The curved shape of stainless steel probed and then thrust. The body in the chair convulsed and screamed a fine mist of blood into the cellar’s dark air.
Another John stood in the dock of a courtroom. The Republic’s flag stood on the wall behind the panel of judges. They whispered together, and then one of them raised his head:
“John Hosten, this court finds you guilty as charged of treason and espionage. You will be taken from this place to the National Prison, and there hung by the neck until dead. May God have mercy on your soul.”
The visions died. John touched his tongue to his lips. “I’m not afraid to die,” he whispered. Then aloud: “I’m not afraid, and I know my duty. I’ll do what you ask, no matter how long it takes, no matter what the risks.”
“Good lad,” Raj said quietly, and gripped his shoulder. “You and your brother will both do your best.”
Jeffrey Farr looked at the mirrored sphere. “Seems like I’m going to be in action a lot,” he said.
He tried to sound calm, but the quaver was in his voice again. Those scenes of himself dying—gut-shot, burned, drowned, the Chosen executioners with whips made of steel-hook chains—they were more real than anything he’d ever seen. He could
feel
it. . . .
“If you say yes,” Raj said. “I’m not going to lie to you, son. Soldiering isn’t a safe profession; and if you refuse, the final war between the Land and your country may not be for a generation or more, possibly two.”
“Yeah, and the horse might learn to sing,” Jeffrey said. He was a little surprised at Raj’s chuckle. “And if I had kids, they’d be around when it happened,, anyway. I’ll do it. Somebody’s got to. A Farr does what has to be done.”
Unconsciously, his voice took on another tone with the last words; Raj nodded approvingly and handed him the balloon snifter.
“Good lad.”
“There’s just one thing,” Jeffrey said. He looked up; the . . . computer . . . wasn’t there—wasn’t anywhere, specifically, while he was in its mind—but that helped.
“Just one thing. If, ah, Center can predict things, and manipulate them the way you’re saying, couldn’t you change the Chosen? You showed me what would happen if the Chosen took over by
themselves
, didn’t you? Left to themselves, on their own.”
correct.
Raj nodded.
“So, you could help
them
, and sort of twist things around so that
they
built a star-transport system? It’d be easy enough, with you showing all the technical stuff they had to do every step of the way, not like reinventing it, not really. And you could get whoever you picked to the top in Chosen politics, couldn’t you? Make ’em next thing to a living god.”
Raj leaned back in his chair. “Smart lad,” he said admiringly. “But then, you’ve got a different perspective on it than your brother—your brother to be, I mean.”
probability of medium-term success with such a course of action is 62%, ±10,
Center said.
unusually high degree of uncertainty due to stochastic factors. we cannot be certain of coming into contact with a suitable chosen representative. this course of action is contraindicated by other factors, however.
Raj nodded, his hard dark face bleak. “It might be possible to get Visager back into interstellar space with the Chosen running things,” he said. “But you couldn’t change them into something we’d
want
in interstellar space—not without redesigning their society from the ground up, and that would be impossibly difficult.”
impressionistic but correct. observe:
The blank hemisphere cleared. Once again Jeffrey saw the blue-white shape of a planet from space, but this time it was not Visager. A shimmering appeared, and spots blinked into existence in the darkness above the planet, tiny until the perspective snapped closer. That showed huge metal shapes—spaceships, he supposed—with the sunburst of the Land on their flanks. Doors opened in their sides, and smaller shapes fell towards the cloud-streaked blue world, shapes with wings and a sleek shark-shape to them. The viewpoint followed them down in a dizzying plunge, through atmosphere and cherry heat, down to the ground. They landed amid flames and rubble, burning vegetation, and shattered buildings. Ramps slid down, and gun-tubs in the assault transports fired bolts that cut paths of thunderous vacuum through the air to clear the perimeter of the landing zone. War machines slid down the ramps on cushions of air, their massive armor bristling with weapons and sensors.
A head appeared in the turret of one of the war machines as it slid to earth and nosed up, dirt howling from around its skirts. The man’s helmet visor was flipped up, and his grin was like something out of the deep oceans.
“Let’s do it, people,” he said. “Let’s
go.
”
probability of successful redesign of chosen culture is 12%, ±6,
Center said.
“We could put them on top; we could even get them out to the stars,” Raj said. “But they’d still attack anything that moved—it’s their basic imperative.”
“Yeah, I can see that,” Jeffrey said, linking and cracking his fingers—then looking down suddenly, conscious that his
real
hands weren’t moving at all, somewhere he couldn’t see. Raj nodded wryly.
And for him, it’s like this all the time. It felt
real
, but . . .
“Yeah,” he went on. “They’ve got to be stopped, here and now.”
“You and your brother will do it,” Raj said. “With our help.”
—and the meteorite was smooth under his fingers.
John Hosten half fell to the dock.
Raj?
he thought.
Center?
Was this some sort of crazy dream? Maybe he was realty back in his bunk at school, waiting for reveille.
The dockers were looking at him, dull curiosity, or simply noting that he was something moving. Jeffrey Farr three-quarters fell down the net after him, his face stunned and slack. John caught him automatically, pushing the limp form against the cargo net so that he could cling and support himself. “
You too?
”
do not show distress,
the machine-voice said in his mind.
Pull yourselves together, lads,
Raj continued. The voice was equally silent, but it had the modulation of human speech, without the sense of cold bottomless depth that Center’s carried.
“John! Jeffrey!”
There was anger in the adults voices. Jeffrey’s face was pale enough that the freckles stood out like birthmarks, but he smiled his gap-toothed grin.
“Hey, we’re in some shit now, man.” “Lets go.”
“Say good-bye to your father,” Sally Hosten said.
John stepped forward. “Sir.”
Karl gave a tiny forward jerk of his head. “
Min sohn.
”
He extended his hand; John stared at it in surprise for an instant. That was the greeting among equals. Then he bowed and took it. The impersonal power clamped briefly on his. A servant came forward at Karl’s signal.
“Here,” Karl said. He handed John a cloth-wrapped bundle. Within was a gunbelt and revolver. “This was my father’s. You should have it. This and my name are all that Fate allows me to leave you.”
Thh . . . thank you, sir,” John said.
His eyes prickled, but he fought the feeling down.
Why now?
Even by Chosen standards, Karl had never been a demonstrative man.
“You are a boy of good character,” Karl said. “If I have ever been less than a father to you, the fault is mine. Your mother and I have parted but for reasons each thinks honorable. Obey your mother; work hard, be disciplined, be brave.”
“Yes sir,” John said.
Karl hesitated for an instant, began to turn away. Then he swallowed and continued: “You will always be welcome among the Chosen, boy, while I live.”
He saluted, fist outstretched. John answered it for the first time—
for the last time,
he realized, as his father strode away with the same stiff-backed carriage.
“Good-bye, sib,” Gerta Hosten said. She drew him into a brief hug, leaving him speechless at the display of emotion. “Watch your back among the Santies.”
Heinrich clasped hands and thumped him on the shoulder. “The Land’s loss but maybe your gain,” he said. “Come visit sometime, sprout, when you’re rich and famous.”
John watched them leave and took a deep breath. “Good-bye, Maria,” he said to the Protégé nursemaid.
She folded him to her broad bosom. “Good-bye, little master. Call Maria if you ever need her,” she said in her slurred lower-class Landisch.
Her husband bowed and touched John’s hand to his forehead. He was a bear-broad man with grizzled black hair. “I, too, young master. Now, go. Your mother waits for you.”
John did an about-face and began walking towards the gangplank, his face rigid. His mother’s hand took his; he squeezed it for a moment, then freed himself.
No more tears, he thought. That’s for kids. I have to be a man, now.
CHAPTER TWO
1227 A.F.
310 Y.O.
“People are going to think we’re weird,” Jeffrey said, panting.
“Hell, we
are
weird, Jeff,” John replied.
They fell silent as they raced up the slopes of Signal Hill, past picnicking families and students—it was part of the University Park. The switchbacks were rough enough, but John cut between them whenever there weren’t any flowerbeds on the slopes. At last they stood on the paved summit, amid planters and trees in big pots and sightseers paying twenty-five centimes apiece to look through pivot-mounted binoculars at the famous view over Santander City. Jeffrey threw his hand-weights to a bench and groaned, ducking his head into a fountain and blowing like a grampus before he drank.
John stood, concentrating on ignoring the ache in his right foot, drinking slowly from a water bottle he carried at his waist. Signal Hill was two hundred meters, the highest land in the city and right above a bend in the Santander River. From here he could see most of the capital of the Republic: Capitol Square to the northwest, and the cathedral beyond it; the executive mansion with its pillars and green copper roof off to the east, at the end of embassy row. The Basin District, the ancient beginnings of Santander City, was below the hill in an oxbow curve of the river, and the canal basin was on the south bank, amid the factories and working-class districts. Southward the urban sprawl vanished in haze; northward you could just make out the wooded hills that carried the elite suburbs.
The roar of traffic was muted here, the hissing-spark clatter of streetcars, the underground rumble of the subway, the sound of horses and the increasing number of steamcars, even the burbling roar of the odd gas-engine vehicle. He could smell nothing but hot stone and the cool green smells of the park, also a welcome change from most of the city. The sun was red on the western horizon, still bright up here, but as he watched the streetlights came on. They traced fairy-lantern patterns of light over the rolling cityscape, amidst the mellow golden glow of gaslights and the harsher electric glare along the main streets.
He grew conscious of someone watching him: a girl about his own age, but not a student—her calf-length dress was too stylish, and the little hat perched on one side of her head held a quetzal plume. She smiled as he met her eyes, then turned to talk to her matronly companion.
“Looking you over, stud,” Jeff said.
John half-grinned. Objectively, he knew he was good-looking enough; tall like his father, with yellow-blond hair and a square-chinned face. And he kept himself in good enough shape . . .
but they don’t know.
His foot twinged.
He punched his brother on the arm. “Like Doreen down in the canteen?” he said. They sat on the grass and passed a towel back and forth. “Thank me for it, bro. If I hadn’t gotten you into this weird Chosen stuff you’d still be a weed and skinny. She’s eating you with her eyes, my man.”
Jeffrey Farr had filled out, although he’d always be slimmer than the son of his foster-mother. Only a trace of adolescent awkwardness remained, and his long bony face was firming towards adulthood.
“Doreen?
All
she’ll do is look. Her folks are Reformed Baptist, you know; I’ve got about as much chance of seeing her skirt up as I do of getting the Archbishop flat. I tried pinching her butt and she mashed my toe so hard I dropped my tray.”
John clucked his tongue. “The Archbishop’s butt? Hell, I didn’t know you had a taste for older women. . . . Pax, pax!”
Jeffrey lit a slightly sweat-dampened cigarette. “Those things will kill you,” John said, refusing the offered pack.
“And the other Officers Training Corps cadets will think I’m a pansy if I don’t smoke,” Jeffrey said, leaning his elbow on his knee and looking out over the city. “I’ll admit, the phys ed side of it is easier because of all this exercise shit you talked me into.”
“How’s Maurice taking you going into the army?”
Jeffrey shrugged. “Dad’s just surprised, is all. Every Farr for five generations has been navy.”
“Since the days of wooden ships and iron men,” John agreed.
The Republic hadn’t had a major land war in nearly seventy years, and the army was tiny and ill-funded. The navy was another matter, since it had always been policy not to let the Empire gain too big an edge.
“More like iron cannon and wooden heads. When do you hear from the diplomatic service?”
“Next week,” John said. “But I’m pretty confident.”
“You’ve got the marks for it.”
Thanks to Center, he said silently.
Jeffrey’s green eyes narrowed and he shook his head.
Even Center can’t make a silk purse out of a sow’s udder,
he replied, through the relay that the ancient computer provided.
correct,
Center said.
i have merely shortened the period of instruction and made possible a broader-based course of study.
Think we’ll have enough time before the Chosen take on the Empire? Jeff thought.
chosen-imperial war within the next two years is a 17% ±3 probability. within the next four, 53% ±5. within the next six, 92% ±7.
“I should have my commission in a year,” Jeff said. “You’ll be a member in good standing of the striped-pants-and-spooks brigade.”
“Much good it’ll do the Empire,” John said gloomily, splitting a grass stem between his thumbs.
North lay the rest of the Republic, and the Gut—the narrow waterway that divided the mainland along most of its width. North of the Gut was the Universal Empire, largest of Visager’s nations, potentially the richest, and for centuries the most powerful. Those centuries were generations gone.
“And we’re doing fuck-all!” Jeff said. “I know politicians are supposed to be dimwits, but the staff over at the Pyramid are even worse, and the admiralty isn’t much better, apart from Dad.”
“
We’re
doing all we can,” John said calmly. “The
Republic
isn’t doing much yet, but some people see what’s coming—Maurice, for example. And he’s a rear admiral, now. We ought to have some time after they attack the Empire.”
“I suppose so,” Jeff sighed. “Hey, you keep me on an even keel, did I ever tell you that? Yeah, even the Chosen aren’t crazy enough to take on us and the Empire at once. When that starts, people will sit up and take notice—even
them.
” He nodded towards the capitol building’s dome.
“Maurice sometimes doubts they’d notice if the Fleet of the Chosen steamed up the river and began shelling them,” John said lightly.
“Dad’s a pessimist. C’mon, let’s get back to the dorm, shower, and grab a hamburger. Maybe Doreen will take pity on me.”
“Teamwork, teamwork, you morons!” Gerta Hosten gasped, hearing the others stumble. “Johan, your turn on point.”
The jungle trail was narrow and slick with mud. The improvised stretcher of poles and vines was awkward, would have been awkward even without the mumbling, tossing form of the boy strapped to it. His leg was splinted with branches; the lianas that bound it to the wood were half-buried in swollen-purple flesh.
Gerta dug her heels in and waited until the stretcher came level, then sheathed her knife and took the left front pole. The man she was relieving worked his fingers for a moment, drew his bowie and plunged forward to slash a way for his comrades. She took the left front pole, Heinrich carried both rear poles, and Elke Tirnwitz was on the right front. Johan Kloster moved farther ahead, chopping his way through the vines. Etkar Summeldorf was getting the free ride; he’d broken a leg spearing a crocodile that tried to snack on them while they forded a river yesterday.
They’d eaten a fair bit of the croc. You got nothing supplied in the team-endurance event that concluded the Test of Life. Well, almost nothing: a pair of shorts, a pair of sandals, a cloth halter if you were a girl, and a bowie knife. Then they dropped you and four teammates down a sliderope from a dirigible into the Kopenrung Mountains along the north side of the Land, and you made the best time you could to the pickup station. Nobody told you exactly where that was, either. The Chosen of the Land didn’t need to have their hands held. If you couldn’t make it, the Chosen didn’t need you—and you had better
all
make it. The Chosen didn’t need selfish grandstanders, either.
“Leave me,” Etkar mumbled. “Leave me. Go.”
“We
can’t
leave you, you stupid git,” Elke said in a voice hoarse with worry and fatigue—they were an item, and besides, Etkar had probably saved their lives at the river. “This is a team event. We’d all drop a hundred points if we left you behind.”
They’d
all
saved each other’s lives.
It was hot: thirty-eight degrees, at least, and steambath humid. Bad even by the Land’s standards. The Kopenrungs were in the far north, nearest to the equator. That was one reason they’d never been intensively developed, that and the constant steep slopes and the lateritic soils. And the leeches, the mosquitoes, the wild boar and wild buffalo and leopards and constant thunderstorms and tornadoes.
Sweat trickled down her skin, adding to the greasy film already there and stinging in the insect bites and budding jungle sores. The rough wood pulled at her arm and abraded the calluses on her palm. Muscles in her lower back complained as she leaned back against the weight of the stretcher and the slope. Branches and leaves swatted at her face.
“Heinrich,
min brueder,
” Gerta said, pacing the words to the muscular effort. “Tell me again how wonderful it is to be Chosen.”
Elke made a sharp hissing sound with her teeth. The Fourth Bureau was unlikely to be listening, but you never knew. Heinrich grunted a chuckle.
“
Shays,
” Johan swore. “Shit.” There was wonder in his tone.
“What is it?” Gerta asked. She couldn’t see more than a few paces through the undergrowth; this section of hillside had burned off a while ago, and the second growth was rank.
“We made it.”
“
What?
” in three strong young voices.
“We made it! That
was
the clearing we saw back on the crest!”
None of them spoke; they didn’t slow down, either. Gerta managed a sweat-blurred glimpse at the mist-shrouded, jungle-covered mountains ahead. They looked precisely like the mist-shrouded, jungle-clad mountains she’d been staring at for the entire past week.
When they broke out of the cover onto the little bench-plateau they broke into a trot by sheer reflex. There were pavilions ahead, and a crowd of people—officers, officials, Protégé servants. A doctor ran forward at the sight of the stretcher.
“How is he?” Elke said.
The doctor looked up and frowned. “The leg doesn’t look too bad. Now. He’d have lost it in another twenty hours.”
Protégés held out trays. Gerta grabbed at a ceramic tumbler and drank, long and carefully. It was orange juice, slightly salted. She shut her eyes for an instant of pure bliss.
A man cleared his throat. She opened her eyes and snapped to attention with the other members of her team; all but Ektar, who was out with a syringe of morphine in his arm.
The man was elderly, bald, stringy-muscular. He had colonel’s pips on the shoulders of his summer-weight uniform, and a smile like Death in a good mood on his wrinkled, bony face. She was acutely conscious of the ring on the third finger of his left hand, an intertwined circlet of iron and gold. The Chosen ring.
“Gerta Hosten, Heinrich Hosten, Johan Kloster, Elke Tirnwitz, Etkar Summeldorf. The ceremony will come later, of course, but it is my honor to inform you that each of you has achieved at least the minimum necessary score in the Test of Life. Accordingly, at the age of eighteen years and six months, you will be enrolled among the Chosen of the Land. Congratulations.”
One of the others whooped. Gerta couldn’t tell which; she was too busy keeping herself erect. Six months of examinations, tests, psychological tests, tests of nerve, tests of intelligence, tests of ability to endure stress; all topped off with seven hellish days in the Kopenrung jungles—and it was
over.
I’m not going to be a Washout.
She’d decided long ago to kill herself rather than endure that; a large proportion of Washouts did.
Born in a Protégé cottage, and I’m
Chosen
of the Land.
She snapped off a salute, arm outstretched and fist clenched. A blood-boil burst and left red running down her mouth as she grinned; the pain was a sharp stab, but she didn’t give a damn.
“You are a very wealthy young man,” the River Electric Company executive said, looking down at the statement in surprise.
“I had some seed money from my stepfather,” John explained. “The rest of it comes from commodities deals, mainly.” Courtesy of Center’s analysis; that made things childishly easy. “And investment in Western Petroleum.”
His formal neckcloth felt a little tight; he suppressed an impulse to fiddle with it. The room was on the seventh story of one of the new office buildings between the Eastern Highway and the river, with an overhead fan and shuttered windows that made it cool even on the hot summer’s day. The River Electric exec had very little on the broad ebony expanse of his desk, just a blotter and a telephone with a sea-ivory handset. And the plans John had sent in.
“This . . .”
“Mercury-arc rectifier,” John supplied helpfully.
“Rectifier, yes, seems to be very ingenious,” the executive said.
He was a plump little man with bifocals, wearing a rather dandified cream-colored jacket and blue neckcloth. There was a parrots feather in the band of his trilby where it hung on the rack by the door.
“However,” he went on, “at present the River Electric Company is engaged in an extensive, a very extensive, investment program in primary generating capacity. Why should we undertake a risky new venture which will require tying up capital in new manufacturing plant?”
John leaned forward. “That’s just it, Mr. Henforth. The rectifier will
save
capital by reducing transmission losses. The expense of installing them will be considerably less than the savings in raw generating capacity.
And
the construction can be subcontracted. There are a lot of firms here in the capital, or anywhere in the Eastern Provinces—Tonsville, say, or Ensburg—who could handle this. River Electric’s primary focus on hydraulic turbines and turbogenerators wouldn’t be affected.”