Broca's Brain (39 page)

Read Broca's Brain Online

Authors: Carl Sagan

Subsequent higher-resolution radio interferometry has shown Jupiter to be flanked by two symmetric “ears” of radio-wave emission with the same general configuration as the Van Allen radiation belts of the Earth. The general picture has evolved that on both planets electrons and protons from the solar wind are trapped and accelerated by the planetary magnetic dipole field and are constrained to spiral along the planet’s lines of magnetic force, bouncing from one magnetic pole to the other. The radio-emitting region around Jupiter is identified with its magnetosphere. The stronger the magnetic field, the farther out from the planet the boundary of the magnetic field will be. In addition, matching the observed radio spectrum from synchrotron emission theory specifies a magnetic field strength. The field strength could not be specified to very great precision but most estimates from radio astronomy in the late 1960s and early 1970s were in the range of 5 to 30 gauss, some ten to sixty times the surface magnetic field of the Earth at the equator.

Radhakrishnan and colleagues also found that the polarization of the decimeter waves from Jupiter varied regularly as the planet rotated, as if the Jovian radiation belts were wobbling with respect to the line of sight. They proposed that this was due to a 9-degree tilt between the axis of rotation and the magnetic axis of the planet—not very different from the displacement between the north geographic and the north magnetic poles of Earth. Subsequent studies of the decimeter and decameter emission by James Warwick of the University of Colorado and others suggested that the magnetic axis of Jupiter is displaced a small fraction of a Jupiter radius from the axis of rotation, quite different from the terrestrial case, where both axes intersect at the center of the Earth. It was also concluded that the south magnetic pole of Jupiter was in the northern hemisphere; that is, that a north-seeking compass on Jupiter would point south. There is nothing very bizarre about this suggestion. The Earth’s magnetic field has flipped its direction many times during its history, and it is only by definition that the north magnetic pole is in the northern hemisphere of the Earth at the present time. From the intensity of the decimeter and decameter emission, astronomers also calculated what the energies and fluxes of electrons and protons in the Jovian magnetosphere might be.

This is a very rich array of conclusions. But all of it is remarkably inferential. The whole elaborate superstructure was put to a critical test on December 3, 1973, when the Pioneer 10 spacecraft flew through the Jovian magnetosphere. There were magnetometers aboard, which measured the strength and direction of the magnetic field at various positions in the magneto-sphere; and there was a variety of charged-particle detectors, which measured energies and fluxes of the trapped electrons and protons. It is a stunning fact that virtually every one of the radio astronomical inferences was roughly confirmed by Pioneer 10 and its successor spacecraft, Pioneer 11. The surface equatorial magnetic field on Jupiter is about 6 gauss and larger at the poles. The inclination of the magnetic to the rotational axis is
about 10 degrees. The magnetic axis can be described as apparently displaced about one quarter of a Jovian radius from the center of the planet. Farther out than three Jupiter radii, the magnetic field is approximately that of a dipole; closer in, it is much more complex than had been estimated.

The flux of charged particles received by Pioneer 10 along its trajectory through the magnetosphere was considerably larger than had been anticipated—but not so large as to inactivate the spacecraft. The survival of Pioneer 10 and 11 through the Jovian magnetosphere was more the result of good luck and good engineering than of the accuracy of pre-Pioneer magnetospheric theories.

In general, the synchrotron theory of the decimeter emission from Jupiter is confirmed. All those radio astronomers turn out to have known what they were doing. We can now believe, with much greater confidence than heretofore, deductions made from synchrotron physics and applied to other, more distant and less accessible comic objects, such as pulsars, quasars or supernova remnants. In fact, the theories can now be recalibrated and their accuracy improved. Theoretical radio astronomy has for the first time been put to a critical experimental test—and it has passed with flying colors. Of the many major findings by Pioneer 10 and 11, I think this is its greatest triumph: it has confirmed our understanding of an important branch of cosmic physics.

There is much about the Jovian magnetosphere and radio emissions that we still do not understand. The details of the decameter emissions are still deeply mysterious. Why are there localized sources of decameter emission on Jupiter probably less than 100 kilometers in size? What are these emission sources? Why do the decameter emission regions rotate about the planet with a very high time precision—better than seven significant figures—but different from the rotation periods of visible features in the Jovian clouds? Why do the decameter bursts have a very intricate (submillisecond) fine structure? Why are the decameter sources beamed—that
is, not emitting in all directions equally? Why are the decameter sources intermittent—that is, not “on” all the time?

These mysterious properties of the Jovian decameter emission are reminiscent of the properties of pulsars. Typical pulsars have magnetic fields a trillion times larger than Jupiter’s; they rotate 100,000 times faster; they are a thousandth as old; they are a thousand times more massive. The boundary of the Jovian magneto-sphere moves at less than one thousandth of the speed of the light cone of a pulsar. Nevertheless, it is possible that Jupiter is a kind of pulsar that failed, a local and quite unprepossessing model of the rapidly rotating neutron stars, which are one end product of stellar evolution. Major insights into the still baffling problems of pulsar emission mechanisms and magnetosphere geometries may follow from close-up spacecraft observation of Jovian decameter emission—for example, by NASA’s Voyager and Galileo missions.

EXPERIMENTAL ASTROPHYSICS
is developing rapidly. In another few decades at the very latest, we should see direct experimental investigation of the interstellar medium: the heliopause—the boundary between the region dominated by the solar wind and that dominated by the interstellar plasma—is estimated to lie at not much more than 100 astronomical units (9.3 billion miles) from the Earth. (Now, if there were only a local solar system quasar and a backyard black hole—nothing fancy, you understand, just little baby ones—we might with
in situ
spacecraft measurements check out the greater body of modern astrophysical speculation.)

If we can judge by past experience, each future venture in experimental spacecraft astrophysics will find that (a) a major school of astrophysicists was entirely right; (b) no one agreed on which school it was that was right until the spacecraft results were in; and (c) an entire new corpus of still more fascinating and fundamental problems was unveiled by the space vehicle results.

*
With the sole exception of the meteorites (see
Chapter 15
).

*
I have discussed these successful inferences and their spacecraft confirmations in Chapters 12, 16 and 17 of
The Cosmic Connection.

CHAPTER 20
 
IN DEFENSE OF
ROBOTS
 

 

WILLIAM SHAKESPEARE
,
Thou com’st in such a questionable shape
That I will speak to thee …
Hamlet
, Act I, Scene 4

 

THE WORD “ROBOT,”
first introduced by the Czech writer Karel Čapek, is derived from the Slavic root for “worker.” But it signifies a machine rather than a human worker. Robots, especially robots in space, have often received derogatory notices in the press. We read that a human being was necessary to make the terminal landing adjustments on Apollo 11, without which the first manned lunar landing would have ended in disaster; that a mobile robot on the Martian surface could never be as clever as astronauts in selecting samples to be returned to Earth-bound geologists; and that machines could never have repaired, as men did, the Skylab sunshade, so vital for the continuance of the Skylab mission.

But all these comparisons turn out, naturally enough, to have been written by humans. I wonder a small self-congratulatory element, a whiff of human chauvinism, has not crept into these judgments. Just as whites
can sometimes detect racism and men can occasionally discern sexism, I wonder whether we cannot here glimpse some comparable affliction of the human spirit—a disease that as yet has no name. The word “anthropocentrism” does not mean quite the same thing. The word “humanism” has been pre-empted by other and more benign activities of our kind. From the analogy with sexism and racism I suppose the name for this malady is “speciesism”—the prejudice that there are no beings so fine, so capable, so reliable as human beings.

This is a prejudice because it is, at the very least, a prejudgment, a conclusion drawn before all the facts are in. Such comparisons of men and machines in space are comparisons of smart men and dumb machines. We have not asked what sorts of machines could have been built for the $30-or-so billion that the Apollo and Skylab missions cost.

Each human being is a superbly constructed, astonishingly compact, self-ambulatory computer—capable on occasion of independent decision making and real control of his or her environment. And, as the old joke goes, these computers can be constructed by unskilled labor. But there are serious limitations to employing human beings in certain environments. Without a great deal deal of protection, human beings would be inconvenienced on the ocean floor, the surface of Venus, the deep interior of Jupiter, or even on long space missions. Perhaps the only interesting results of Skylab that could not have been obtained by machines is that human beings in space for a period of months undergo a serious loss of bone calcium and phosphorus—which seems to imply that human beings may be incapacitated under 0 g for missions of six to nine months or longer. But the minimum interplanetary voyages have characteristic times of a year or two. Because we value human beings highly, we are reluctant to send them on very risky missions. If we do send human beings to exotic environments, we must also send along their food, their air, their water, amenities for entertainment and waste recycling, and companions. By comparison, machines
require no elaborate life-support systems, no entertainment, no companionship, and we do not yet feel any strong ethical prohibitions against sending machines on one-way, or suicide, missions.

Certainly, for simple missions, machines have proved themselves many times over. Unmanned vehicles have performed the first photography of the whole Earth and of the far side of the Moon; the first landings on the Moon, Mars and Venus; and the first thorough orbital reconnaissance of another planet, in the Mariner 9 and Viking missions to Mars. Here on Earth it is increasingly common for high-technology manufacturing—for example, chemical and pharmaceutical plants—to be performed largely or entirely under computer control. In all these activities machines are able, to some extent, to sense errors, to correct mistakes, to alert human controllers some great distance away about perceived problems.

The powerful abilities of computing machines to do arithmetic—hundreds of millions of times faster than unaided human beings—are legendary. But what about really difficult matters? Can machines in any sense think through a new problem? Can they make discussions of the branched-contingency tree variety which we think of as characteristically human? (That is, I ask Question 1; if the answer is A, I ask Question 2; but if the answer is B, I ask Question 3; and so on.) Some decades ago the English mathematician A. M. Turing described what would be necessary for him to believe in machine intelligence. The condition was simply that he could be in teletype communication with a machine and be unable to tell that it was not a human being. Turing imagined a conversation between a man and a machine of the following quality:

INTERROGATOR
: In the first line of your sonnet which reads “Shall I compare thee to a Summer’s day,” would not “a Spring day” do as well or better?

WITNESS
: It wouldn’t scan.

INTERROGATOR
: How about “a Winter’s day”? That would scan all right.

WITNESS
: Yes, but nobody wants to be compared to a Winter’s day.

INTERROGATOR
: Would you say Mr. Pickwick reminded you of Christmas?

WITNESS
: In a way.

INTERROGATOR
: Yet Christmas is a Winter’s day, and I do not think Mr. Pickwick would mind the comparison.

WITNESS
: I don’t think you’re serious. By a Winter’s day one means a typical Winter’s day, rather than a special one like Christmas.

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