Fatal (20 page)

She cut off the main road onto an unmarked gravel drive that cut through a meadow festooned with wildflowers. Sunlight glinted off the colors. The sound of insects and scent of late summer filled the air. At the end of the drive, nestled in a young wood, was Rudy’s rough-hewn cabin. Rudy had been Howard’s college roommate and, later, best man at their wedding. He was for many years a biostatistician at the FDA before he was prematurely nudged into retirement by reorganization. But that hardly told the story of the man. Despite his long-term friendship with her husband, Ellen had always thought of Rudy Peterson as the anti-Howard. Where Howard was handsome and dashing, Rudy was introspective, philosophical, and hardly the physical specimen women would chase after. Howard’s humor was slapstick and ridicule; Rudy’s, droll and subtle, with just a pinch of cynicism. Howard had turned out to be more flash than substance. Rudy continued to be a steady, loyal friend, who had never said a strongly negative word about his former roommate. In fact, he was the only one of their pre-divorce acquaintances who had managed to maintain a relationship with both of them.

Ellen parked behind Rudy’s ancient pickup, surveyed the house, then walked around to the back. There was no sense looking for him inside on a day like this. A narrow, well-worn dirt path wound from the small backyard through the woods to Rudy’s pond. It was a neat little pond, five acres he had said, fed by mountain streams, and stocked with trout and bass by a company who made a business of doing that. Rudy, in his rowboat, was out there in the middle, gazing up at the hills, pausing now and then for a cast. He was wearing his trademark Tom Sawyer–style straw hat. Even at this distance, Ellen could smell the cherry tobacco from his pipe. According to a well-run study from Scotland, he had told her, one pipeful a day of cherrywood tobacco added 3.2 healthy years of life, whereas two or more pipefuls were responsible for minus 5.

She sat down in the shade on the shore, but it wasn’t long before he spotted her and waved.

“Ahoy,” he called out. “Be right in.”

Ellen watched as he reeled in, shipped his rod, and rowed toward her. As soon as he had been let go by the FDA, Rudy had closed up his apartment in Rockville and moved out to the cabin full-time. Never married, he had a brother and a niece and nephew, some good friends, and passions for carpentry and classical piano, which he played better than most. Still, Ellen always worried that he spent too much time alone, and she made it a point to call once a week or so, and to drive out for an overnight every few months, bearing enough home-cooked food to last a few weeks. Since her appointment to the select commission on Omnivax, the calls and visits to her friend had been more frequent.

Rudy tied up on the trim little dock and then exchanged kisses on the cheek. He had a round, boyish face that looked as if it had yet to feel a razor. The hair on his head was completely gone, save for a silver monk’s fringe. Ellen and others felt he bore enough resemblance to actor Gavin MacLeod to call him Captain. He had responded by painting “The Love Boat” on the stern of his skiff.

“Where are the fish?” she asked.

“I throw them back. By this time of the season most of them know me by my first name. They bite on the hook just to come up and visit. Once in a while one of them will mess himself up enough that I’ll have to bring him home and make a meal of him.”

“It’s good to see you.”

She put her arm around his shoulders as they walked back to the cabin.

“So,” he asked after fixing two cups of tea, “how did the vote go? Did you throw a monkey wrench into their machine?”

Ellen had spoken to him after Lynette Marquand’s promise, but not since the visit from the man with the harelip scar.

“I didn’t go in for the vote.”

Rudy’s eyebrows arched just a bit.

“So,” he said, “I assume our friendly neighborhood vaccine is now the law of the land.”

“Twenty-two to nothing.”

“With one abstention.”

“With one abstention. The first dose is scheduled to be given in a few days.”

“The first of millions.”

“Tens of millions, thank you,” she corrected glumly.

“It’s not ready,” he said.

She brightened up.

“You have proof?”

“Not exactly. But as I told you before, we’re closing in on something.”

“Tell me.”

Rudy looked at her kindly, then shook his head.

“You first,” he said. “I’m a patient man, but there’s a hole the size of Georgia in the middle of this conversation.”

“I’m sorry, Rudy. I know how worried you used to get about me after Howard left. I wanted to tell you what caused me to abstain without having you get too upset. I just couldn’t figure out how.”

“Now, that’s what I call one hell of an interest-piquer.”

Ellen smiled ironically.

“I suppose it is,” she said. “I’m sorry. You know me, the queen of worrying about people worrying. Rudy, the day before yesterday a man broke into my house and was waiting for me when I got home. He was huge and reeked of cigarette smoke, and had a thick scar right here above his lip. He sat there smiling while he produced pictures of Lucy, at school, in the yard, even one in her bedroom, and implied that she would be kidnapped and killed in a horrible way if I cast the vote that sent Omnivax back to the drawing board.”

Rudy exhaled, whistling softly. “I’m sad to say I’m not that surprised. This big daddy vaccine means a lot of things and a lot of money to a lot of people. You can describe the bastard?”

“Of course, but what does that accomplish?”

“It’s a start.”

“He was so damn sure of himself, Rudy. He just sat there smirking, knowing there wasn’t a single thing I could do except listen. He said that if I went to the police, they would be able to do nothing, and he would find out.”

Ellen felt herself beginning to unravel. She bit on her lip and brushed some tears away with the back of her hand.

“He’s probably right on both accounts,” Rudy said. “I’m really sick that this happened to you.” He reached over and awkwardly patted her hand. “Was there anything else you remember?”

“After he finished threatening Lucy, he made a call from his cell phone and a car pulled up. He walked out of the house as calmly as any door-to-door salesman and drove off, just like that. I tried to get the license number of the car, but it was gone too quickly.”

“Did he say anything at all that gave a hint as to who had hired him?”

Ellen shook her head. “I don’t think so. He said he was employed by someone who wished to get Omnivax into circulation as soon as possible. I asked if he worked for President Marquand or the drug companies, but he brushed that off.”

“I wonder,” Rudy said. “My money’s on someone on the manufacturing end of all this. From what I know about Lynette Marquand, I doubt she’s capable of hiring someone like this, but I can’t speak for her staff—or her husband’s, for that matter.”

“Wait, he said ‘employers.’ Plural. I remember that distinctly.”

“Well, here’s some paper. I’d like you to write down every single thing you can remember about the man. His appearance, clothes, mannerisms, phrases he said, everything.”

“What good’ll that do?”

“I don’t really know yet, but as my granny used to say, it couldn’t hurt. Maybe something you forgot will pop into your mind.”

“Maybe. I want to find him, Rudy. I want to find him and . . . and hurt him. I close my eyes at night and there’s his hideous face leering at me. I wake up in the middle of dreams, soaked in sweat. Early this morning I actually got sick. I wanted so much to go to the police, but after what he said, I just couldn’t.”

“Easy does it, El. I’ll help you. If he’s out there, we’ll find him. But first, get the facts down on paper. You know me. I need data. Let me get you some more tea while you do that.”

“Then you’ll tell me what’s been going on with you?”

“Then I’ll tell you,” Rudy said.

RUDY'S STUDY WAS 
the small second floor of the cabin, once an attic. The skylights, beamed cathedral ceiling, knotty pine paneling, and floor-to-ceiling bookshelves helped make the room as comfortable as the man. Occupying much of the space was a large oak desk bearing a computer and other sophisticated electronics. A reading area with two worn leather easy chairs and a shared ottoman took up the rest. By the lone window, a telescope looked out across the yard toward the pond.

After she had finished writing down what she remembered of the well-dressed, well-spoken killer, Ellen kicked her shoes off and settled into one of the easy chairs. Rudy took the other. As he stretched his legs onto the ottoman, his bare foot brushed against hers. He quickly pulled it away and muttered an apology, his expression a strange mix of embarrassment and . . .
and what?
Ellen wondered. Then she noticed the heightened color in his cheeks.

“So?” she asked, as he replaced his foot on the ottoman a respectable distance from hers.

“Well, you know the problem I’ve been encountering trying to check up on this Omnivax. It isn’t that there are any incriminating research data, there aren’t. It’s that, for a project this massive, there ain’t that much data at all. And as a statistician, I like playing around with piles and piles of data almost as much as I like fishin’. The megavaccine has been field-tested, but not in any controlled way, and the components have all been tested individually and in some combinations, though not in any controlled way, either. Every piece of this lummox of a vaccine seems to work just fine, but only as far as it’s been evaluated. I have no doubt that Omnivax protects people against every infection they say it does.”

“I hear a
but
coming on.”

“
But
, if this were a new arthritis medicine or birth-control pill, there is no way it would have been approved for general use on numbers this scant.”

“To the best of my knowledge there has never been a tightly controlled double blind study of a vaccine.”

“To the best of
my
knowledge, that is correct. Physicians and the pharmaceutical industry and some of my dear old friends at the CDC and FDA would rather take the chance there are no problems with a vaccine than risk depriving the public of protection against even one a them goldurn microbial buggers.”

“Go on.”

“Well, like I think I told you, I decided to focus what little time and resources we had on examining the weakest links in the Omnivax chain. So I weeded through the blocks of data available on each of the less common disorders—what I call the fringe players. And like I mentioned, this vaccine against Lassa fever heads that list. It’s relatively new. So are the outbreaks of infection it was created to protect us against. It was approved for general use by the FDA about ten years ago. From a statistical point of view—
my
statistical point of view, at least—it was rushed into use too soon.”

“They were afraid a major epidemic was brewing here in the States.”

“I know, only it didn’t happen—at least not then it didn’t. Well, there are no major problems with the vaccine that I can tell, but it sure hasn’t been tracked very thoroughly.”

“I already know about that,” Ellen said, hoping her tone didn’t reflect her deep disappointment. “That’s what you have?”

Rudy took her reaction in, though, and for a few seconds he just sat there. Then shook his head and grinned proudly.

“Nope,” he said. “As a matter of fact it isn’t what I have at all. I made some calls. One of them was to an old pal from the CDC I used to do projects with. His name’s Arnold Whitman and he’s an epidemiologist and a microbiologist. Arnie’s been looking at these outbreaks of Lassa fever for us on the QT. If he gets caught mucking around in someone else’s territory it could be his job. Anyhow, what he found may be nothing, but Arnie doesn’t think so, and Arnie is very high on my list of very smart people who aren’t wrong about science a hell of a lot.”

“You should be on that list,” Ellen said.

“Oh, I am. Seriously, listen to this. The incubation period for Lassa fever from exposure to symptoms is seven to fourteen days, twenty-one days tops. Eighteen of the cases in the U.S. appear to have brought the infection in with them from Africa. The rest of the cases are believed to have caught the virus from those eighteen. Given the known incubation period, it seems as if every one of the eighteen cases became infected on or about the very day they left Africa for the U.S.”

“Weird.”

“More than weird, my friend. This is the stuff my statistics were born to make sense of. And guess what?”

“They can’t?”

“Precisely! They can’t make sense of those eighteen cases all becoming infected as they are about to leave for the U.S., because something’s wrong.”

“But what?”

“That is the conundrum. I can’t say, at least not yet. But wait, there’s more. In the countries where it occurs frequently, Lassa fever has a clear-cut seasonal predominance for the months of January and February. In fact, here’s a little graph I put together with cases that occurred three years ago, which I got from a Sierra Leone health ministry report via my pal Arnie.”

“Impressive,” Ellen said.

“Not overwhelming, but the January/February pattern the textbooks write about is certainly there. Now look at our eighteen cases.”

Ellen held the second graph next to the first. There was only one case in January, none in February. Most of the rest were in the summer.

“And your statistics say?”

Rudy pressed an imaginary buzzer, adding the sound effect.

“Once again the numbers say that something’s wrong. And need I remind you that these are my numbers, and my numbers never lie. From what I can tell, in the months of May, June, and July, you have a much greater chance of catching Lassa fever by flying to the U.S. than you do by staying in Africa.”

“What do we do with this information?”

“We try and turn it into a working hypothesis,” he replied, “a scenario that fits and explains the data. We need to come up with some facts.”

“Starting where?”

“I would say starting at the Sierra Leone embassy in D.C. A friend of mine in the State Department tells me they have access to a passenger manifest of every flight out of their country. Plus, I’d be interested in how many Americans got Lassa fever in Africa as opposed to after they came home. I believe you could get that information from the Sierra Leoneans as well. Data! I crave data!”