Authors: David Stuckler Sanjay Basu
It has long been known that housing is a precondition for good health. Homeless persons are among society's most vulnerable groups. People without homes tend to die forty years earlier than those with a roof over their heads. They often suffer from a raft of health problems and lack adequate access to healthcare. In addition, the homeless are at high risk of contracting infectious diseases like TB, which can then spread to the rest of the population. Poor health and homelessness are so closely linked that it is difficult to ascertain which came first, but the public health outcome is the same: a huge increase in the risk of death and avoidable suffering.
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While the relationship between homelessness and disease has long been common knowledge, the foreclosure crisis during the Great Recession taught us something new: the threat of foreclosure can contribute to illness even before anyone loses their home. As people struggled to pay their debts, the accompanying stress increased risks of suicide and depression, and many people were forgoing food and medicines to make their mortgage payments. A study of Americans over age fifty found that between 2006 and 2008, people who fell behind on their mortgage payments were about nine times more likely to develop depressive symptoms, 7.5 times more likely to experience “food insecurity” (meaning a lack of adequate nutrition and skipping meals), and nine times more likely to skip medicines, even after statistically controlling for pre-existing health conditions.
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Because so many people couldn't afford medicines, or were sacrificing healthcare to pay their debts, those facing the threat of foreclosure were more likely to experience disease complications that left them in emergency rooms. A large case-control study in Philadelphia compared hospitalization rates among people who had a home foreclosure notice (cases) with those matched for age, gender, sex, residential area, and health insurance status but who didn't face foreclosure (controls). The study found that between 2005 and 2008, people whose homes had a foreclosure notice were at a higher risk of ending up in a local hospital than the control group. Within the six to twenty-four months before the date of foreclosure, people who had a foreclosure notice were 50 percent more likely to visit the emergency room. The two
main causes were high blood pressure and kidney failure related to diabetes, conditions that should not result in hospitalizations unless people were for-going medications.
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Once people's homes were actually foreclosed and people forced to leave, their risks of ending up in the ER jumped even higher. As people skipped necessary medicines during the recession in Arizona, California, Florida, and New Jersey, a strong correlation emerged between the rates of home foreclosures in communities and rates of emergency room visits. When we looked across all zip codes between 2005 and 2007, at the peak of the foreclosure crisis, but before unemployment rose, those zip codes with higher foreclosure filings had greater risks of emergency room visits, even after adjusting for housing prices, unemployment, migration, and historical trends in ER visits among those communities. On average, each additional 100 foreclosures were found to correspond to a 7.2 percent rise in emergency room visits and hospitalizations for high blood pressure, as well as an 8.1 percent jump in diabetes-related complications, mostly among people under age 50. Between 2007 and 2009, emergency rooms visits surged by 6 million people over and above the number expected during normal periods.
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While it was clear that foreclosure posed a serious threat to Americans ending up in emergency rooms, the real danger to their health was if they had no place to live. Whether more people became homeless during the recession ultimately depended on how governments chose to respond.
When President Obama came into office, the foreclosure crisis was escalating. Since the housing bubble collapsed, the nation's foreclosed population nearly tripled from one in 476 house holds in 2007 to one in 135 in mid-2009.
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This wave of foreclosures put enormous pressure on public housing systems, at a time when they were already overstretched. It's often forgotten that US homelessness rates were already at record highs after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005, which had displaced thousands of families in New Orleans and on the coast of Texas.
Even before the burst of new foreclosures, public housing services were unable to keep pace with Americans' need for housing assistance. In 2007, a study of 23 large US cities found that half of the cities' public housing programs had to turn people in need of shelter away due to a lack of capacity. While some people experiencing homelessness managed to find temporary
housing arrangementsâfor example, with friends or relativesâothers were not so lucky. Before the Great Recession hit, nearly 40 percent of homeless people were living on the street, in a car, or in another place not intended for human habitation. As Neil Donovan, executive director of the National Coalition for the Homeless, explained at the time, for these people, “the U.S. housing safety net isn't just frayed, it's missing.”
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When foreclosures increased in the United States during the Great Recession, homelessness rose in step. Between 2008 and 2009, more than half a million additional houses were foreclosed. In turn, at least 20,000 additional people became homeless during the same period. In 2009, about 1.6 million people (about one in every 200 persons in the US) used an emergency shelter in at some point. But more than 250,000 homeless people were unshelteredâliving in abandoned ware houses, parks, cars, and back alleys among other places not intended for human residence.
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Children were among the most tragic victims of the foreclosure crisis. The number of children living without homes increased from 1.2 million in 2007 to about 1.6 million in 2010, or about one in every forty-five American children. Reporters found that in some towns plagued by foreclosure, school buses had to stray from their usual routes to stop in Wal-Mart parking lots, where parents had parked their vans and converted them into make-shift homes. Bedbugs and scabies were but a few of the health problems facing these homeless children.
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Homelessness leaves a permanent mark on the health of people who experience it. In the worst of cases, it can be lethal. During the recession in the United States, the homeless were estimated to have been about thirty times more likely than the rest of the population to die from the effects of illegal drugs, 150 times more likely to be fatally assaulted, and thirty-five times more likely to kill themselves. On average, US homeless persons were experiencing a life expectancy on par with that of people in war-torn Sierra Leone and the Congo.
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The city of San Francisco's foreclosure crisis put the nation's problems in perspective. Between 2007 and 2008, San Francisco's housing programs couldn't keep up with demand and had to expand wait-lists by 50 percent for families and individuals to access emergency shelters. An analysis of data from California estimated that approximately thirty-seven house holds entered the shelter system for every 1,000 foreclosure filings, even after adjusting for poverty ratesâmeaning that those pushed into homelessness by foreclosure
weren't simply those who were already likely to need assistance. More people were being turned away, and their health problems were putting a tremendous burden on the healthcare system.
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Thomas, a man in his forties, was one such case. He had lost his home and become an alcoholic. Sanjay met Thomas at San Francisco's Housing and Urban Health Clinic, treating his numerous injuries and a seizure problem caused by his drinking. He also landed on the city's list of “high utilizers” of the emergency room, which is to say he cost the city an inordinate amount given the frequent injuries he suffered while drunk from getting into fights, being mugged, and even once falling down the stairs at a subway stop. Repeated attempts to persuade Thomas to stop drinking were unsuccessful.
Sanjay could do little to treat the health consequences of homelessness in patients like Thomas. As another doctor explained, when homeless patients come to the clinic, treating their medical symptoms is “like giving someone aspirin for cancer.” Homelessness makes it hard for people to take medicines consistently as required for high blood pressure and diabetes, as co-payments for those medicines are expensive. Homeless persons also face extreme depression and anxiety, so they often self-medicate with drugs and alcohol. To treat all of these conditions, a homeless person would need up to ten different medications, and even then it is unlikely that they would work as intended without the security of stable housing.
The best medicine for people without homes is simple and obvious: put a roof over their heads. It is an approach known as “Housing First,” because it first seeks to address people's immediate need for shelter, before dealing with their other concerns. Of course, this costs money up front, but the evidence shows that it saves money (and lives) in the long run if done correctly.
That is precisely what the US government began to do soon after President Obama took office. On May 20, 2009, Obama implemented a massive stimulus package to help people like Thomas and boost the economy. The Congress passed a $1.5 billion Homelessness Prevention and Rapid Re-Housing Program bill, creating a program designed to prevent victims of foreclosure from becoming homeless and to help those already homeless regain housing. As part of the program, local governments identified these people and helped them to find and pay for new places to live. The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) also used the funds to increase the number of emergency shelters and units for long-term housing.
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Homelessness prevention programs, like those supported by the stimulus, helped Thomas get his life back on track. At the clinic, nurses and doctors had tried everything they could to help Thomas, but it was only when the city of San Francisco found him an apartment through its longstanding, but oversubscribed, Direct Access to Housing program that his underlying depression substantially improved. Thomas joined Alcoholics Anonymous and eventually recovered from his drinking problem. He now works as a chef's assistant at a local restaurant, paying his rent and taxes, as well as avoiding the emergency room at the hospital.
Over the long run, San Francisco saved money by putting a stable roof over Thomas's head. It turned out to be cheaper for the city to provide Thomas a modest apartment than to pay for his stays in hospitals and jails. A statistical analysis of programs like San Francisco's Direct Access to Housing found that they often saved money for cities and states by reducing healthcare (and often jail) expenditures.
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With support from Obama's stimulus package, mayors in New York City, Denver, San Diego, Chicago, and Philadelphia soon began expanding Housing First programs similar to San Francisco's. In Philadelphia, each group of 100 people housed saved the city $421,893 per year, over and above the costs of running the program and covering housing bills.
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Across the United States, despite an historic housing and economic downturn, homelessness actually decreased between 2009 and 2011 in tandem with the rollout of HUD's homelessness prevention program. Even as another 1.9 million homes were foreclosed in 2010, the homeless population actually fell. In 2010, the stimulus-financed program helped 700,000 at-risk and homeless people find shelter, and by 2012 it had averted homelessness for 1.3 million Americans.
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The United Kingdom presented a stark contrast to the US example during the Great Recession. In the UK, housing had long been recognized as a public health issue. Government housing programs were considered so integral to health that the UK Housing Department was under the control of the Department of Health until 1951 (when the Tories defeated Labour, at which point housing was separated, seen partly as a move to weaken the power of the National Health Service). Before the Great Recession, the British Department for Communities and Local Government operated a successful social
housing program analogous to the Housing First programs in the United States. Britons who qualified could receive housing subsidies of up to several hundred pounds per monthânot a huge sum, but enough to help people keep a roof over their heads. British housing support had managed to keep homelessness at about two-fifths of US prevalence rates (about 1 homeless person per 500 people in the UK versus about 1 per 200 in the US) and had helped bring about a roughly 50 percent reduction in homelessness rates between 2000 and 2007.
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As in the US, the British government faced the decision of how to respond to a foreclosure crisis after its own housing bubble burst. Under the Labour Party's government, between 2007 and 2009, the number of foreclosed homes in the United Kingdom taken into possession nearly doubled, from 25,900 to 48,000. At first, the British social housing programs not only prevented a rise in homelessness but helped more people find homes, as the total number of homeless families fell from 63,170 in 2007 to 40,020 families in 2009.
Those rosy statistics changed dramatically starting in 2010, when the Tory Coalition government came into power and began cutting the safety nets that had kept people from homelessness. In 2010, Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne announced an austerity package comprised of £83 billion ($113 billion) in cuts, of which £8 billion ($13 billion) was cut from the government's affordable housing budget. This plan was what the Tories called Big Society, which shrank the role of the state in the hope that local communities would fill the gap. As their pamphlet explained, the plan was “underpinned by radical reform of public services to build the Big Society where everyone plays their part, shifting power away from central government to the local level as well as getting the best possible value for taxpayers' money.” The rationale was that many people simply didn't need these housing supports, and were cheating the system at a time when government spending should be cut to spur economic recovery. This would turn out to be false reasoning that actually prolonged the recession while simultaneously worsening the housing crisis and its associated health problems. Previously, the Labour government had built over 22,000 new “affordable” homes in 2009, helping the 1.8 million house holds on the waiting list for support. But Labour's program to expand public housing came to a halt across the UK when the Tory government chopped the housing budget.
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