Read Conquering the Chaos: Win in India, Win Everywhere Online
Authors: Ravi Venkatesan
The military term
VUCA
means operating in an environment characterized by extreme volatility, uncertainty,
complexity, and ambiguity. This term describes well the business environment in India;
it should be spelled VUCCA, though, with the addition of another C for corruption.
Interestingly, while India is a VUCCA market, it also represents most other emerging
markets. Many countries, especially in Africa, Latin America, and Asia, resemble chaotic
India far more than they do centrally directed and efficient China (see
figures 1-2
,
1-3
, and
1-4
).
Take corruption; at number 95, India is in the middle of the pack of emerging markets
(see
figure 1-2
). Doing business in these markets means multinational companies have to figure out
how to succeed despite rampant corruption. In terms of the ease of doing business,
India is a tough place at number 132, but again is highly representative of many other
markets, such as Brazil (number 130) and Indonesia (128), according to the World Bank.
In the World Economic Forum’s
2012 Global Competitiveness Report
, India, at number 59, is just behind Brazil (48) and ahead of Russia (67). Again,
most emerging markets, such as Indonesia (50), raise the same issues and challenges
as India does.
FIGURE 1-2
Global corruption index
Source:
Reproduced with permission of Transparency International.
FIGURE 1-3
World Bank ranking of countries based on ease of doing business
Source:
Wikipedia, see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Ease_of_Doing_Business_Index.svg
.
FIGURE 1-4
2012 Global Competitiveness Report
Source: The Global Competitiveness Network
, World Economic Forum, Switzerland, 2012.
The inescapable conclusion: doing business in most emerging markets is tough. Frankly,
that’s why they are called
emerging
markets. Global companies will have to learn how to succeed in those unfamiliar and
difficult environments if they want to grow. Both in its potential and in its challenges,
therefore, India is an archetype for many emerging markets, especially democratic
ones. Moreover, since India offers a market with huge potential, substantial managerial
capability, a decent talent pool, and important institutions that many smaller markets
lack, it is a good place for multinationals to learn to deal with corruption, volatility,
chaos, poor infrastructure, and the problems they will face in other emerging markets.
Succeeding in India will help multinationals build critical capabilities for tomorrow.
For example, the structure of demand in India is a flattish pyramid with a fat base.
A small affluent segment lies at the top, “the Australia at the top of India,” as
Steve Ballmer of Microsoft calls it. A quickly growing, middle market segment has
the same number of households as Germany and the United Kingdom combined. Tapping
that segment represents a big opportunity. Then, there are the 700 million people
at the bottom of the pyramid who survive on less than $2 a day (see
figure 1-5
).
To succeed, a company has to straddle the pyramid. Smart companies start by selling
global products at global prices to the top but quickly find a way to crack the middle
market. This is not easy, because it requires considerable innovation. Companies have
to develop products in India that are disruptive and offer perhaps 70 percent of the
value of the global product at 30 percent of the price. Think of $100 smartphones,
$2,500 cars, X-ray machines at $400, and so on. To make money at these price points,
companies must localize supply chains and alter business models. They also have to
develop deep distribution that reaches into small-town India and build trusted and
aspirational brands. Once they succeed, they find that the same offerings and capabilities
allow them to win in many other developed and developing countries. Incidentally,
the bottom of the pyramid is not about fortunes, but represents an opportunity to
earn trust and goodwill through corporate social responsibility and shared value initiatives.
FIGURE 1-5
Indian income pyramid
Source:
Aresh Shirali, “The Wealth Report,”
Open Magazine
, March 12, 2011.
Consider a few examples. Take the case of telecom operator Vodafone, which is India’s
largest investor. It has had a tough ride into the market with taxation, regulation,
and brutal competition, but it has learned to make money in the toughest market in
the world, where a phone call costs $0.02 a minute and the average revenue per customer
is $3. This has given Vodafone an advantage in many markets in Africa and Europe.
11
Similarly, for years, tractor manufacturer Deere & Company found it challenging to
compete in emerging markets because its giant tractors and harvesters were too large,
expensive, and complicated for tiny farms. In 2010, Deere finally developed a compact
and affordable thirty-five-horsepower tractor suitable for India. The tractor was
developed in India by a team comprising primarily Indian engineers. It’s now a big
success in India; today Deere exports tractors from its Pune factory to seventy other
countries. By taking on rivals in their home markets, companies like Deere and Vodafone
have also learned to compete with low-cost, nimble, and entrepreneurial Indian and
Chinese challengers.
Hyundai, Suzuki, and Ford have all made India their global hub for small cars. Unilever
is repeating its success with low-cost detergents, sachets, and Pureit water purifiers
in India in many other developing countries. Both Unilever and Novartis have created
new models of distribution to reach less affluent consumers in smaller towns and villages.
These channels account for 10 percent of these companies’ sales, and they are replicating
them in other emerging markets. Unsurprisingly, companies such as Bosch, Dell, Reckitt
Benckiser, L’Oréal, Nestlé, Kraft, Schneider Electric, Honeywell, GE, Cummins, and
Standard Chartered use India as a proving ground for leaders. They send their stars
to India to deliver on tough missions, and Indian stars work overseas, particularly
in Southeast Asia and Africa, which are characterized by high growth and volatility.
A number of leaders are beginning to understand that adversity breeds innovation and
new capabilities; it’s precisely because India is a difficult environment that it
is important to learn to succeed here. They see India as a powerful litmus test of
their ability to succeed in emerging markets. Shane Tedjarati, president of Honeywell’s
New Markets, sums it up: “Our success in China and India has created a model that
allows us to succeed in Brazil, Africa, and elsewhere.” Tim Solso, the former chairman
and CEO of Cummins, stated, while announcing a $500 million investment in 2011 that
includes three new manufacturing plants and a new R&D center in India: “We are looking
at leveraging the capabilities and scale from India to enter Africa.”
12
Commenting on the promotion of India President D. Shivakumar as the head of the Middle
East, Africa, and India regions, Stephen Elop, Nokia’s CEO, said: “India is at the
forefront of the company’s transition strategy. All our dual SIM launches are doing
well, and we are witnessing strong sales. India has shown that brand plus team plus
great execution can deliver strong results.”
13
Clearly, he expects Shivakumar to replicate Nokia India’s success and bring back
market share in the ninety countries in those two regions that resemble India.
India’s strategic importance is not only because it is a large market; more importantly,
it is a laboratory or petri dish for developing products, business models, talent,
capabilities, and operating models that will help companies succeed in a host of challenging
markets. In the global corporation’s architecture, India, along with China, is one
of the key hubs for supporting those markets. You have to learn to win in India to
be able to win everywhere else.
Obstacles are what you see when you are not focused on the goal.
—OLD INDIAN ADAGE
Many multinational companies are quite pleased with their performance in India. That’s
because they have set quite a low bar for success. To most, the fact that their business
in India is meeting budget or growing at double-digit rates is significant.
But that isn’t success. Companies can be growing at double-digit rates and meeting
budgets, and still be irrelevant to their parent and in India. McKinsey & Company
analysis shows that the twenty-five largest, publicly listed multinational companies
in India contributed just 2 percent of their parent’s global revenues and profits
in 2011.
1
That’s telling, especially since many of them have been operating in India for a
long time. The Indian operations of companies that have set up shop since 1991 as
wholly owned subsidiaries contribute an even more anemic 1 percent of their parent’s
revenues and profits. If all these operations grow at roughly the same pace as their
industry, even after a decade their contribution will still be extremely modest.
Real success in India, I would argue, means meeting three criteria:
That may seem like a high bar, but some multinational companies have vaulted over
it. They span many industries such as banking, engineering, food, packaged consumer
goods, trucks, telecom, information technology, and automotive. They are American,
South Korean, Japanese, Swedish, French, German, and British. Some are large; others
midsize. Yet they are all doing well in India by my parameters. In this book, I will
repeatedly refer to this set of winning companies. Despite their diversity, these
companies adopt a similar approach:
Take the case of UK-based construction equipment company JCB. India is the jewel in
the JCB crown, contributing over a third of its revenues and perhaps half its global
profits. The company has a very substantial share (estimated at 55 percent by industry
sources) of the fast-growing Indian construction equipment business, and it is beginning
to use its low-cost manufacturing and engineering capabilities to compete in other
developing countries. Invigorated by the capabilities it has built in India, JCB has
become a global leader in its industry. By contrast, Caterpillar, the world’s biggest
construction equipment maker, has struggled to get its act together despite being
an extremely well-managed company. Caterpillar languishes in fourth position in sales
of construction machines in India. In a 2009 interview in the
Financial Times
, then chairman and CEO Jim Owens said he was “disappointed” with Caterpillar’s weak
showing in India, but was “determined we will do better.”
2
Since then, the gap between JCB and Caterpillar in India has only grown bigger. (See
“
David versus Goliath
.”)
A
nthony Bamford, chairman of UK-based construction equipment manufacturer J C Bamford
Excavators Ltd., stood in the sweltering heat of India to watch swarms of workers
manually moving tons of earth and stone at a construction site outside Delhi. He was
no stranger to the country; this was perhaps his twentieth visit since he first started
coming to India as a student in the 1960s and especially after 1979 when JCB established
a joint venture (JV) with its Indian partner, Escorts. The JV had done reasonably
well, carving out a decent market share in the tiny Indian construction equipment
market (approximately the thirtieth largest in the world in 2003). However, Bamford
could sense things were changing. The industry was finally beginning to grow at a
decent pace, albeit from a tiny base. This had attracted the attention of global leaders,
including Caterpillar, Komatsu, Volvo Construction Equipment, and Case New Holland,
which had all launched competitive products and were nipping at the heels of the JV.
Would JCB be able to ride the construction boom and retain, if not increase, its market
leadership?
On the flight back to his home in Gloucestershire, Bamford mulled over what he had
seen. Although he had been visiting India for years, he sensed a new dynamism and
energy in the air. New construction was beginning everywhere—malls, commercial complexes,
homes. The government finally was moving on the big national highway projects. Now
a new can-do spirit informed all his meetings, whether with dealers, customers, or
even the construction workers he had spoken to. As a result, he sensed that contractors
were willing to invest in new machines and new projects.
But was this for real? Over the years, he had seen similar moments of optimism and
energy, only to watch India lose steam and disappoint. Confronted with big opportunities
in the United States, China, and Brazil and smaller opportunities in other emerging
markets, was it really time to make a big bet on India? He could see that it was not
simply a matter of bringing more machines into India. The market in India was fundamentally
different. Construction projects were smaller, people had less money to invest, and
in most cases, contractors would be buying their first machine ever, having relied
for decades on manual labor. The JV would need a simple, inexpensive, and versatile
machine instead of sophisticated, costly, and very productive excavators—a Swiss-army
knife rather than a more specialized carving knife. Manufacturing would have to be
completely localized to keep the pricing competitive. Bamford could see that the dealer
network would have to be completely overhauled to provide the kind of customer support
and service across India that JCB was famous for globally. He wondered if Escorts,
its Indian partner, shared this vision and had the same appetite for investment and
growth. The transformation would require strong Indian leadership, a new level of
capability on the ground, and much more collaboration between JCB’s UK headquarters
and India. Most of all, it would require greater engagement and more active sponsorship
from him personally. How should he prioritize India over other product and country
investment opportunities?
Being a privately held company, JCB was able to move swiftly after Bamford made up
his mind to focus on India. The results were impressive. By 2011, revenues had grown
nearly fifteen times, and India was now a powerful growth engine for JCB, its largest
market worldwide, accounting for about a third of global revenues and perhaps half
of its profits. Strategically, JCB had built a dominant market share. The name “JCB”
had become synonymous with the industry and virtually the generic term for any construction
machine. As the Indian construction equipment market is taking off (it is expected
to be one of the top five markets in the world by 2015), JCB is extraordinarily well
positioned to ride the wave, while its competitors, including Caterpillar, Komatsu,
and Volvo, are scrambling to find a way to participate more effectively. How did JCB
do it?
JCB also arranged financing through more than fifty banks and financing companies,
enabling thousands of first-time entrepreneurs across the country. Today, over 40
percent of JCB’s machines are bought by first-time entrepreneurs. Moreover, unlike
most industrial companies, JCB also invested significantly in marketing beyond the
usual industry events and road shows. Much like a consumer company, it invested to
have a dominant 50 percent share of voice across media channels and signed up Narain
Karthikeyan, a young Formula One racing driver, to be its brand ambassador. Across
India, buying a “JCB” and becoming an entrepreneur are huge aspirations.